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The evolution of DDoS threats in 2026: 3 trends that could disrupt your business

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Tomasz Szóstek
16/02/2026
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DDoS attacks are no longer exceptional events but a permanent feature of the Internet landscape, with tens of millions of incidents reported quarterly and multi-terabit peaks becoming routine. At the same time, IoT-based botnets—leveraging printers, cameras, routers, and other poorly maintained devices—are expanding faster than detection capabilities.

The attack model is also shifting from purely volumetric L3/L4 floods toward smaller but highly targeted L7 and API attacks that bypass traditional defenses. Moreover, DDoS is increasingly used as a geopolitical pressure tool against public administration and critical infrastructure, meaning that in 2026 resilience must go beyond bandwidth capacity and include application-layer visibility and contextual risk awareness.

DDoS attacks are no longer rare incidents — they have become a permanent element of the internet landscape. In the first quarter of 2025 alone, Cloudflare reported blocking more than 20 million DDoS attacks, representing a multiple increase compared to the same period the year before.

Equally important, the number of attacks recorded within a single quarter has begun to approach volumes that were, until recently, reported on an annual basis.

Last year also saw additional historic records in attack volume. Exceeding the 1 Tbps threshold is no longer an exception and has started appearing regularly in quarterly statistics. In subsequent months, attacks reaching several terabits per second were reported, and in the second half of the year incidents emerged that set new absolute volumetric records — reaching dozens of terabits per second.

Data from the entire year clearly shows that the pace of attack evolution is outstripping the pace of defensive adaptation. Against this backdrop, trends are becoming increasingly visible — trends that in 2026 will have an even greater impact on organizational resilience.

Botnets Will Grow Faster and Become More Sophisticated

In 2026, botnets will remain the primary source of DDoS attacks, but their nature will differ significantly from just a few years ago. We are no longer talking exclusively about infected workstations or servers. Devices that until recently were not even considered part of IT infrastructure — yet are now constantly connected to the network — will play an increasingly important role.

Printers, cameras, home routers, household appliances, and even devices with seemingly very limited functionality are becoming natural targets for attackers.

They all share one thing: they operate for years without updates, often with default passwords, outdated software, and no security monitoring whatsoever. In practice, they are ideal building blocks for distributed, hard-to-detect botnets.

The growing number of such devices and their widespread presence online will make botnets not only larger, but also harder to detect and filter.

Attacks Will Be Smaller — but Better Executed

DDoS attacks are expected to rely less frequently on sheer traffic volume. Instead, we will observe continued growth in smaller-scale attacks that are far better designed and precisely executed. These attacks will occur more frequently, and their effectiveness will stem not from traffic volume, but from the targeted layer at which they are conducted.

The application layer (L7) will play a key role, rather than Layer 4 (L4), which dominated traditional volumetric attacks. In practice, this means that many traditional DDoS protection mechanisms focused on L3/L4 are unable to effectively identify this type of attack.

Application Layer and API Attacks Will Continue to Increase

The upward trend in attacks targeting the application layer and APIs in 2026 is a continuation of the phenomenon described above. Attackers are deliberately shifting their operations from network layers L3/L4 to L7, because this is where protective mechanisms are most limited and effective detection is most challenging.

Data from recent years clearly shows that the scale of application-layer attacks is steadily increasing. Reports published by Cloudflare indicate a clear year-over-year rise in L7 attacks, even though volumetric attacks at L3/L4 still dominate overall statistics.

The chart shows a dynamic year-over-year increase in HTTP (L7) attacks, confirming the growing importance of application-layer threats.

In practice, application-layer and API attacks are particularly effective in modern application environments, where a significant portion of communication relies on APIs, microservices, and publicly accessible backends. Even a small number of requests can overload specific application functions while remaining invisible to tools that analyze traffic volume alone.

DDoS Attacks and the Geopolitical Context

When analyzing the evolution of DDoS attacks in 2026, the geopolitical context cannot be ignored. DDoS is increasingly less a purely technical security incident and more a tool used in coordinated operations of a political nature. In such scenarios, the objective is not data theft or permanent infrastructure damage, but disruption of business continuity or the creation of operational chaos.

A good example of this phenomenon is this year’s analysis published by SOCRadar, concerning a coordinated DDoS campaign targeting Polish infrastructure in January 2026. Within a short period, thousands of incidents were identified, targeting hundreds of domains and IP addresses across both the public sector and commercial entities. The scale and concentration of the attacks pointed to a planned operation rather than random cybercriminal activity.

The SOCRadar report shows that such DDoS campaigns are increasingly less anonymous. Recognizable groups stand behind them, openly communicating their actions, publishing target lists, and dynamically adjusting attack intensity depending on current international developments. DDoS is thus becoming part of coordinated operations rather than a random act of cybercrime.

This picture is further confirmed by the ENISA Threat Landscape 2025, which indicates that DDoS attacks constitute a significant portion of incidents affecting public administration and critical infrastructure. In ENISA’s analyses, DDoS clearly dominates among reported incidents targeting public services at the European Union level. From an organizational perspective, this represents a substantial shift in risk assessment.


DDoS attacks are no longer solely a technical availability issue. They are increasingly linked to international developments, political decisions, or affiliation with a specific sector. In 2026, preparedness for DDoS must therefore take into account not only system architecture and traffic volume, but also the broader context in which an organization operates.

If you would like to assess how to effectively protect your organization against DDoS attacks, contact us.


Text autor:
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Tomasz Szóstek , Security Engineer , 4Prime IT Security
Tomasz has specialized in networking and cybersecurity for many years. His main areas of interest include Next Generation Firewall (NGFW) and Web Application Firewall (WAF) technologies. He has experience working with leading IT security vendors such as Fortinet, Palo Alto, F5, Juniper, Cloudflare, Cisco, and Check Point.

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